Document Type : Research articles.
Authors
Abstract
The study investigated the relative importance of Egypt's exports of
orange for fruit exports, agricultural exports and total exports during the
period
-
, Studying the development of quantity, value and export
prices of Egypt's orange exports during the period
-
, Studying the
geographical distribution of Egypt's orange exports to the most important
countries during the period
-
,. Estimation of the Gravity Model for
Egyptian Exports of Oranges during the period - ). The research
was based on the published and unpublished secondary data issued by the
system The Central Administration for Public Mobilization and Statistics and
the computer database of the Agency, the Central Administration of
Agricultural Economy of the Ministry of Agriculture, the Food and
Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), foreign trade
publications, and some previous studies in this field. To achieve the objectives
of the research, statistical, economic and statistical analysis methods were
used through Estimation of the general trend models, the most important of
which is the linear pattern of the cultivated area, production, productivity,
quantity, value and export prices. The economic analysis was based on some
indicators, the most important being the instability coefficient, (Gini
coefficient), and the gravity model was used to determine the factors affecting
Egyptian exports of oranges
The main findings of the research:
The instability coefficients of the total export volume of orange are
found to be unstable. The instability coefficient for the average period reached
instability coefficients below in at a rate of about and the
highest in at about Of the orange was unstable as the instability
coefficient for the average period was about . The instability coefficient
below was in at about and the highest in at . The
instability coefficients of the total export value of orange were unstable,
Uncertainty Resolution of the average period of about and reached
instability coefficient below in at a rate of about and by ,
about rate.
The results of the Gravity Model Test show that there is an inverse
correlation between the quantity of orange exports and the total Egyptian GDP
and the population of Egypt. This may lead to increased local demand for
oranges with increased production and a positive correlation between the
quantity of orange exports And each of the total national product of importing countries, and the number of population of those countries, that the more the
population in the importing country increased the demand of the state on
imports and thus increased the demand for Egyptian exports of potatoes, the
existence of a direct relationship between the amount of orange exports and
the volume of production of oranges may return that However, despite the
increase in local production of oranges, the percentage of rejection of exported
shipments increases every year with the strictness of the standards set for
export and the spread of diseases in Egyptian oranges, especially fresh fruit fly
disease, and a direct relationship between the quantity of exports of orange and
export price where the increase in price to encourage Exporters found that the
distance variable between Egypt and the countries importing the orange has a
negative effect on Egypt's exports of oranges. In other words, the greater the
distance between countries, the higher the transportation costs. The negative
effect of the distance on exports shows more with the goods Quick damage
Main Subjects
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